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Harley-Davidson, Inc. Reports Record Third Quarter in 2004


PHOTO (select to view enlarged photo)
2004 Harley XL

Company on Track to Achieve Record Year and Previously Stated Long-term Targets

MILWAUKEE, Oct. 13 -- Harley-Davidson, Inc. today announced record earnings for its third quarter ended September 26, 2004. Third quarter diluted earnings per share (EPS) were 77 cents, a 24.2 percent increase compared with last year's 62 cents. Revenue for the quarter was $1.30 billion, which compares to $1.13 billion in the year-ago quarter.

"We are pleased to report that Harley-Davidson has once again produced record revenue and earnings for the quarter," said Jeffrey L. Bleustein, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Harley-Davidson, Inc. "Our financial results for the first nine months of the year position us to deliver another record year and are in line with our previously stated long-term targets."

"Retail sales of Harley-Davidson(R) motorcycles in the U.S. are up 7.1 percent on a year-to-date basis through September. As expected, third quarter retail sales were down compared with last year's third quarter. In 2003, our dealers had a phenomenal third quarter as our 100th Anniversary celebration drove motorcycle sales up 27 percent versus the prior year's performance," added Bleustein.

"We are enthusiastic about the reception of our recently introduced 2005 model year motorcycles, in particular the new Softail(R) Deluxe, the Screamin' Eagle(R) Custom Vehicles, the Sportster(R) 883 Low, and the redesigned Softail(R) Springer(R) Classic. Looking ahead to 2005, we expect demand for Harley-Davidson motorcycles to continue to grow and support a wholesale unit target of 339,000 motorcycles, which represents a 7 percent increase over this year's target," said Bleustein.

Motorcycles and Related Products Segment - Third Quarter Results

Third quarter revenue from Harley-Davidson motorcycles was $996.6 million, an increase of $152.3 million or 18.0 percent over last year. Worldwide shipments of Harley-Davidson motorcycles in the third quarter totaled 80,578 units, consistent with the Company's previously announced target of 80,500. The Company's 2004 shipment target for Harley-Davidson motorcycles remains 317,000 units.

Third quarter revenue from Parts & Accessories (P&A), which consists of Genuine Motor Parts and Genuine Motor Accessories, totaled $224.4 million. This is an 8.0 percent increase, or $16.6 million more than the same quarter a year-ago.

Third quarter revenue from General Merchandise, which consists of MotorClothes(R) apparel and collectibles, totaled $61.4 million, up 1.4 percent or $0.8 million over the same period last year.

Growth rates for P&A and General Merchandise fluctuate from quarter to quarter. However, for the long term the Company expects the growth rate for P&A revenue to be slightly higher than Harley-Davidson's motorcycle unit growth rate, and the General Merchandise revenue growth rate is expected to be lower than the motorcycle unit growth rate.

Third quarter gross margin improved to 38.0 percent of revenue in 2004 compared to 35.6 percent of revenue in 2003. The increase in margin was primarily driven by a combination of foreign currency exchange rates, the full integration of the new Softail Plant in York, Pennsylvania and other operational efficiencies. Consistent with the higher gross margin, operating margin increased from 21.3 percent in 2003 to 23.6 percent in 2004.

Motorcycle Retail Data

"U.S. Harley-Davidson motorcycle retail sales for the third quarter were down 9.8 percent versus the same period last year, which was the largest retail sales quarter ever. Standing up to the challenge, our dealers recorded the second largest third quarter in Company history this year, even with the adverse weather-related issues that have plagued the Southeast during much of that time," said Bleustein. Retail sales of Harley-Davidson motorcycles in the United States were up 7.1 percent for the period January through September 2004 when compared to the same period last year.

In markets outside the U.S., retail sales of Harley-Davidson motorcycles were down slightly during the first nine months of 2004, declining 0.9 percent or 400 units from the same period last year. While retail sales of Harley-Davidson motorcycles are growing in many of the Company's international markets, dealers in select markets have seen decreases due to difficult economic and market conditions. Harley-Davidson retail motorcycle sales were down 5.1 percent in Europe, due largely to weakness in the German economy, and down 10.2 percent in Japan.

  Data is listed in the accompanying tables.

  Financial Services Segment

Harley-Davidson Financial Services, Inc. (HDFS) reported third quarter operating income of $50.1 million, up 8.4 percent from $46.2 million in the year-ago quarter. The segment's performance was driven by continued strong marketplace acceptance of its finance and insurance products.

The Company's third quarter securitization of $625 million of motorcycle retail loans resulted in a gain of $13.8 million during the third quarter of 2004. The gain as a percentage of loans securitized was 2.2 percent, in line with the Company's previously stated guidance of 2.0 to 2.5 percent in the current competitive market and interest rate environment.

Annualized credit losses on a managed portfolio basis decreased during the first nine months of the year from 0.73 percent in 2003 to 0.69 percent in 2004.

Over the long term, the Company expects the HDFS growth rate in operating income to be slightly higher than the Company's motorcycle unit growth rate.

Harley-Davidson, Inc. - Nine Month Results

For the nine month period in 2004, revenue totaled $3.79 billion, a 9.5 percent increase over the year-ago period. Diluted earnings per share were $2.29, an increase of 20.5 percent compared to the same period last year.

Through the first nine months of this year, shipments of Harley-Davidson motorcycles were 236,702, a 10.6 percent increase over last year's 214,091. Harley-Davidson motorcycle revenue was $2.94 billion, a 9.7 percent increase over $2.68 billion in revenue in 2003. P&A revenue totaled $623.7 million, a 9.1 percent increase over last year's $571.8 million. General Merchandise revenue totaled $168.8 million, a 5.1 percent increase compared with $160.7 million during the same period in 2003.

HDFS operating income was $149.4 million, an 11.5 percent increase compared with $134.0 million during last year's first nine months.

Cash Flow - Nine Month Results

Operations generated cash of $956.9 million. The Company invested $109.9 million in capital expenditures, declared dividends of $82.4 million and repurchased 10.6 million shares at a cost of $564.1 million.

Company Background

Harley-Davidson, Inc. is the parent company for the group of companies doing business as Harley-Davidson Motor Company, Buell Motorcycle Company and Harley-Davidson Financial Services. Harley-Davidson Motor Company, the only major U.S.-based motorcycle manufacturer, produces heavyweight motorcycles and offers a complete line of motorcycle parts, accessories, apparel, and general merchandise. Buell Motorcycle Company produces sport motorcycles. Harley-Davidson Financial Services provides wholesale and retail financing and insurance programs to Harley-Davidson dealers and customers.

The Company's ability to meet the targets and expectations noted depends upon, among other factors, the Company's ability to (i) continue to realize production efficiencies at its production facilities through the implementation of innovative manufacturing techniques and other means, (ii) successfully implement production capacity increases in its facilities, (iii) successfully introduce new products and services, (iv) avoid unexpected P&A/general merchandise supplier backorders, (v) sell all of the Harley-Davidson motorcycles it plans to produce, (vi) continue to develop the capacity of its distributor and dealer network, (vii) avoid unexpected changes in the regulatory environment for its products, (viii) successfully adjust to foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations, (ix) successfully adjust to interest rate fluctuations, and (x) successfully manage changes in the credit quality of HDFS's loan portfolio.

In addition, the Company could experience delays in the operation of manufacturing facilities as a result of work stoppages, difficulty with suppliers, natural causes, terrorism or other factors. Risk factors are also disclosed in documents previously filed by the Company with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

                            Harley-Davidson, Inc.
                 Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income
                   (In thousands, except per share amounts)

                                   (Unaudited)             (Unaudited)
                                Three Months Ended      Nine Months Ended
                               Sep 26,     Sep 28,     Sep 26,     Sep 28,
                                2004        2003        2004        2003

   Net revenue               $1,300,684  $1,133,641  $3,794,193  $3,466,204
   Gross profit                 494,568     403,290   1,438,113   1,249,540
   Operating expenses           187,980     161,317     529,344     501,189
   Operating income from
    motorcycles & related
     products                   306,588     241,973     908,769     748,351

   Financial services income     77,484      74,660     239,038     216,716
   Financial services expense    27,410      28,447      89,644      82,680
   Operating income from
    financial services           50,074      46,213     149,394     134,036

   Corporate expenses             3,348       3,367      12,871      12,023
   Total operating income       353,314     284,819   1,045,292     870,364
   Investment income and
    other, net                    1,699       5,365      10,220      12,835
   Income before provision for
    taxes                       355,013     290,184   1,055,512     883,199
   Provision for income taxes   126,030     100,112     374,708     304,701
   Net income                  $228,983    $190,072    $680,804    $578,498

  Earnings per common share:
    Basic                         $0.78       $0.63       $2.30       $1.91
    Diluted                       $0.77       $0.62       $2.29       $1.90

  Weighted-average common
   shares:
    Basic                       294,031     302,313     295,362     302,280
    Diluted                     295,824     304,580     297,357     304,493

                          Harley-Davidson, Inc.
                          Condensed Consolidated
                              Balance Sheets
                              (In thousands)

                                    (Unaudited)                 (Unaudited)
                                      Sep 26,       Dec 31,       Sep 28,
                                       2004          2003          2003

  ASSETS
  Current assets:
    Cash and cash equivalents      $1,009,528      $812,449      $942,021
    Marketable securities             518,808       510,211       448,816
    Accounts receivable, net          139,022       112,406       119,178
    Finance receivables, net          998,114     1,001,990       814,837
    Inventories                       234,728       207,726       210,925
    Other current assets               84,155        84,345        80,309
  Total current assets              2,984,355     2,729,127     2,616,086
  Finance receivables, net            581,296       735,859       704,430
  Other long-term assets            1,364,723     1,458,102     1,180,078

  Total assets                     $4,930,374    $4,923,088    $4,500,594

  LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
  Current liabilities:
    Accounts payable & accrued
     expenses                        $693,073      $631,468      $698,256
    Current portion of finance
     debt                             109,179       324,305       337,657
  Total current liabilities           802,252       955,773     1,035,913
  Finance debt                        670,000       670,000       380,000
  Other long-term liabilities         220,461       212,179       225,509
  Postretirement health care
   benefits                           144,917       127,444       121,886
  Shareholders' equity              3,092,744     2,957,692     2,737,286

  Total liabilities and
   shareholders' equity            $4,930,374    $4,923,088    $4,500,594

                          Harley-Davidson, Inc.
                          Condensed Consolidated
                         Statements of Cash Flows
                              (In thousands)
                                                      (Unaudited)
                                                   Nine months ended
                                                   Sep 26,     Sep 28,
                                                    2004        2003
  Cash flows from operating activities:
    Net income                                    $680,804     $578,498
    Adjustments to reconcile net income to
     net cash provided by operating
     activities:
      Depreciation                                 160,765      146,063
      Provision for long-term employee
       benefits                                     47,143       57,842
      Provision for finance credit losses            2,420        2,708
      Gain on current year securitizations         (58,302)     (70,831)
      Collection of retained securitization
       interests                                    97,494       82,671
      Contributions to pension plans                   -        (12,000)
      Tax benefit of stock options                  42,919        9,031
      Other operating cash flows                    18,387        8,211
      Net changes in current assets and
       current liabilities                         (34,768)      60,137
    Total adjustments                              276,058      283,832
  Net cash provided by operating activities        956,862      862,330

  Cash flows from investing activities:
    Capital expenditures                          (109,874)    (124,390)
    Finance receivables, net                       182,959      (33,680)
    Net change in marketable securities            (11,764)      63,461
    Other, net                                      (8,868)        (206)
  Net cash provided by (used in) investing
   activities                                       52,453      (94,815)

  Cash flows from financing activities:
    Net decrease in finance debt                  (214,290)     (53,595)
    Dividends                                      (82,411)     (34,866)
    Purchase of common stock for treasury         (564,132)     (30,563)
    Issuance of common stock under
     employee stock plans                           48,597       12,602
  Net cash used in financing activities           (812,236)    (106,422)

  Net increase in cash and cash
   equivalents                                     197,079      661,093

  Cash and cash equivalents:
  At beginning of period                           812,449      280,928
  At end of period                              $1,009,528     $942,021

                          Harley-Davidson, Inc.
                        Net Revenue and Motorcycle
                              Shipment Data

                                Three Months Ended      Nine Months Ended
                                Sep 26,     Sep 28,     Sep 26,     Sep 28,
                                 2004        2003        2004        2003
  NET REVENUE (in thousands)
  Harley-Davidson(R)
   motorcycles                 $996,552    $844,264  $2,935,621  $2,676,196
  Buell(R) motorcycles           18,318      20,471      63,510      55,985
  Parts & Accessories           224,381     207,766     623,715     571,809
  General Merchandise            61,352      60,520     168,828     160,658
  Other                              81         620       2,519       1,556
                             $1,300,684  $1,133,641  $3,794,193  $3,466,204

  HARLEY-DAVIDSON UNITS
  Motorcycle shipments:
    United States                66,859      54,829     191,705     173,712
    Export                       13,719      12,629      44,997      40,379
  Total                          80,578      67,458     236,702     214,091

  Motorcycle product mix:
    Touring                      21,818      21,071      68,253      60,471
    Custom                       39,857      33,011     116,128     113,259
    Sportster(R)                 18,903      13,376      52,321      40,361
  Total                          80,578      67,458     236,702     214,091

  BUELL UNITS
  Motorcycle shipments:
    Buell                         2,472       2,481       7,793       7,364

                    Year-to-date Heavyweight (651+ cc)
                 Motorcycle Retail Registrations (Units),
                      data through month indicated.

                                 2004        2003       % change
  United States
  - H-D (September)             201,852     188,402        7.1%
  - Industry (September)        419,267     392,755        6.8%

  Europe
  - H-D (September)              21,096      22,228       -5.1%
  - Industry (August)           285,821     274,047        4.3%

  Japan
  - H-D (September)               7,563       8,419      -10.2%
  - Industry (August)            31,175      32,511       -4.1%

  Only Harley-Davidson(R) motorcycles are included in the Harley-Davidson
  (H-D) data.

   Data for Europe includes registrations in Austria, Belgium, Denmark,
   Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal,
   Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and United Kingdom.

   Data Sources: (subject to update)
   United States: Motorcycle Industry Council
   Europe: Company reports, Giral S.A.
   Japan: Company reports, Industry sources