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Study Shows Cars Produce Less Than 30% of Smog in U.S. Cities

13 August 1997

Study Shows Cars Produce Less Than 30% of Smog in U.S. Cities

    DES PLAINES, Ill., Aug. 13 -- The AAA-Chicago Motor Club
announced the following today:

    Smog produced by automobiles continues to decline and is no longer a
primary cause of the ozone problem in Chicago and other major U.S. cities.
    That is the conclusion of a study released today by the AAA-Chicago Motor
Club, which shows that cars and light trucks currently cause less than 30
percent of the emissions that lead to ground-level ozone problems in 24 major
cities.  A 1994 study done for AAA showed similar results for 10 cities.
    In Chicago, total auto emissions (both volatile organic compounds and
nitrogen oxides) have been cut nearly in half since 1970, despite a 76 percent
increase in the number of vehicle miles traveled over the same period.
    "The results of this study contrast with the public and media perception,
which falsely portrays cars and light trucks as the major cause of smog in big
cities," says Jonathan Lehrer, vice president of public affairs for
AAA-Chicago Motor Club.
    "More than 70 percent of our smog comes from smokestacks, refineries and
other mobile sources.  Should motorists be expected to bear a disproportionate
burden of new clean air standards if their vehicles are not the main problem?"
says James L. Kolstad, vice president, AAA Public and Government Relations.
    The study, performed for AAA by Energy and Environmental Analysis, Inc. of
Arlington, Va., indicates that reductions in passenger vehicle emissions since
1970 have more than offset the growth in vehicle usage in the 24 cities
studied.  "In light of these data, it is difficult to justify stricter
controls on cars and light trucks," Lehrer says.
    "We support continued efforts to clean the air.  However, AAA is calling
attention to this new information to send a message to federal, state and
local air quality officials of the need to go beyond simply targeting
passenger vehicles if they hope to make any real headway in cutting the ozone
in our cities," said Kolstad.
    The study indicates that in such cities as Chicago, Atlanta, Baltimore and
Cleveland, 75 percent to 80 percent of the volatile organic compounds (VOCs)
and nitrogen oxides (Nox) come from stationary and other mobile sources.
    This is also true for such cities as Philadelphia, Phoenix, San Francisco
and Washington, D.C., where auto and light truck emissions have nose-dived
since 1970 despite a more than 100 percent increase in vehicle miles traveled.
    The study notes that the continuing decline of the passenger vehicle's
role in urban smog is due primarily to the success of tightening federal
tailpipe emissions, cleaner gasolines and effective inspections.  It projects
that improvements in passenger vehicle emissions will continue to 2005 --
despite expected growth in vehicle population and miles traveled.
    "Motorists have spent billions of dollars buying new, cleaner cars, using
cleaner-burning gasoline and making repairs required by emissions inspection
programs," says Lehrer.  "This study shows they have done their part to
reduce emissions."
    AAA-Chicago Motor Club provides motoring, insurance, travel and financial
services to more than 670,000 members in Illinois and Northern Indiana. There
are 40 million AAA members in the U.S. and Canada.

                                  Fact Sheet
                                    AAA's
                        Clearing The Air Study - 1997

    Major findings:
        Emission inventories submitted by states to the Environmental
    Protection Agency (EPA) indicate the automobile's responsibility for the
    ozone problems in cities studied averages less than 30% of the total
    ozone-related emissions of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) and nitrogen
    oxides (Nox).  Auto emissions have been declining since 1970 and will
    continue to decline through 2005:

                           VOCs from Autos           Nox from Autos
                       1970  1980   1996  2000   1970  1980  1996   2000

    Atlanta             53%   46%    22%   19%    30%   29%   19%    19%
    Baltimore           52    49     16    10     26    26    13     15
    Charlotte           40    33     17    13     20    20    10      9
    Chicago             46    40     25    16     30    29    17     14
    Cleveland           49    44     24    21     34    25    24     22
    Denver              51    44     23    17     27    28    20     18
    Detroit             44    37     19    17     21    20    13     12
    Jersey City         35    31     11     6      8     9     4      4
    Kansas City, MO     37    33     17    15     16    17    11     12
    Louisville          30    24     12     9     12    12     8      7
    Milwaukee           48    42     18    13     24    25    18     16
    Muskegon, MI        37    30     14    12     23    22    15     14
    Newark              39    35     13     8     24    26    15     13
    Philadelphia        43    38     16    12     25    26    20     19
    Phoenix             48    34     18    14     32    26    17     15
    Pittsburgh          40    35     18    15     12    12    10      9
    Portland, OR        50    39     18    12     33    30    18     14
    Providence          49    42     17    12     43    42    27     28
    Sacramento          35    33     20    10     34    28    17     10
    San Francisco       47    39     26    14     34    32    22     14
    St. Louis           31    26     11     7     13    13     7      7
    Toledo              39    33     18    16     15    15     8      7
    Trenton             46    40     17    11      9     9     6      6
    Wash., DC           56    50     25    20     25    26    23     21

    These auto-related emission percentages have declined in the past two
decades despite a more than 100% increase in vehicle miles traveled since
1970.  In most instances, emissions from other mobile sources such as trucks,
buses, planes, trains, other utility and off-road vehicles are increasing on a
proportional basis as emissions from cars decline.

SOURCE  AAA-Chicago Motor Club